![]() Las Vegas went 0-2 in those games, and it wasn't going up against stout defenses. ![]() The Raiders soared into their Week 8 bye with wins over Denver and Philadelphia but averaged 15 points per game the last two weeks while seeing Derek Carr's yards per attempt plummet from 8.5 to 6.9. 1 receiver in a span of two weeks, regardless of circumstances, it's going to catch up to you. ![]() At a certain point, it's not even adversity that takes a toll - it's attrition. It worked for the first two weeks after Jon Gruden resigned and Henry Ruggs was arrested. Look, the reality of the Raiders season is they can't continue to operate solely on adrenaline and motivation at an NFL level. Props, Best Bets: Nope Packers at Vikings The only argument here for the Jets is "weird stuff happens" or "it was cold for the Florida team." How do you bet on that versus "bet against 36-year-old Joe Flacco"? Tua Tagovailoa was limited Wednesday, but in reading his and the coaching staff quotes he should be good to go. The Jets are bottom 10 in every major passing category defensively. Miami is pressuring a league-high 35% of the time and the Jets are bottom five in pressure rate allowed. If you look at the numbers here it's impossible to argue for the Jets. Maybe asking your spouse to vacuum the living room before your parents come and instead said spouse sets the living room on fire? The weird thing is the Jets are only three-point dogs at home. I'm not sure there's a real-life relationship equivalent. We betting on Joe Flacco or against him? What are the Jets doing? This is a long-suffering fanbase, and if you give them a sniff of competency, they immediately start Joe Flacco in 2021. TV: CBS | Stream: Paramount+ ( click here) Props, Best Bets: Mark Andrews anytime TD Texans at Titans He has three TDs and three picks against the blitz, an 11-to-5 ratio when defenses don't send pressure, and his yards per attempt spikes 2.6 when he has time. Unless the Bears decide to change their defensive tendencies - they rank second-lowest in the NFL in terms of blitzing - Lamar should cook here. Additionally, Baltimore is an elite red-zone team on offense (70% of the time it scores a touchdown) and defense (44% allowing one), while Chicago is below average in red-zone conversions (54%). But the Ravens are much better on defense at stopping the same conversions, second in the NFL (32%) versus the Bears at 14th (40%). With an assist to the folks at Tru Media: the Ravens and Bears are both bad at third-down conversions on offense (29th and 28th, respectively). Our excellent CBS Sports research team - shouts to Ben Bradley, Jon Fisher, Sean Ahearn, Ryan Satsky and the whole crew, because they crush it behind the scenes - sold me on staying with the Ravens. My initial lean on this game was the Ravens, but sometimes you see two big favorites on the road in the first two games and you get a little nervous. TV: Fox/NFL Network | Stream: fuboTV ( click here) Let's get hot with the picks.Īll NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook NFL Week 11 Picks Patriots at Falcons This is about to be an epic run to close out the season with a bunch of weird stuff happening and the promise of some fireworks in the playoffs. Tampa Bay is the defending champ, and it just lost to WFT's league-worst defense.įind a good team and I'll find you a flaw. The Titans are rolling, but they lost to the frigging Jets. The Bills might be great, but they lost 9-6 to the Jaguars. Instead, focus on the fact we're halfway through a full, fairly normal NFL season and you can't definitely say if there's a single good team in the league. One nice thing? We have an actual halfway point! Well, not really but you can at least divide 18 weeks in half and everyone has played nine games or more at this point. There are many terrible things about a 17-game season, mostly trying to remember what teams' final records will be (9-8, you disgust me).
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